Posts Tagged ‘Canada’



Colombia to attract $4.5 billion for gold mining over 10 years

Colombia in Latin America is a new gold exploration hotspot with gold companies due to invest $400 million in 2010

Author: Diana Delgado
Posted: Monday , 19 Apr 2010

BOGOTA (REUTERS)
Gold mining companies will invest as much as $4.5 billion over the next ten years in Colombia, attracted by rich unexplored areas and soaring prices, the head of the country’s Asomineros miners group told Reuters.
Gold companies are expected to invest as much as $400 million in exploration and production this year, up from $300 million in 2009, Arturo Quiros, executive director of Asomineros said on the sidelines of a mining seminar in capital city Bogota.
Areas of exploration have opened up in Colombia under President Alvaro Uribe, who is popular for increasing security with his U.S.-backed crackdown drug-running guerrillas.
“The gold boom has continued due to high prices of the metal,” Quiros said.
“Improved security conditions and relatively unexplored areas compared to other countries in Latin America explain why there is such a high interest to explore in Colombia,” he said.
In all, Colombia will double its gold production over the next five years. The Andean country could produce around 3 million troy ounces of gold in 2015, twice as much as the 1.57 million troy ounces produced last year and much higher than the 501,500 troy ounces produced in 2006, Quiros said.
Colombia attracted a record $3.24 billion in foreign direct investment (FDI) in mining last year, compared with $2.11 billion in 2008. Of that amount, the coal sector saw the biggest inflows, Silvana Giaimo, vice minister of mines and energy, said.
Mining weighted 40 percent of the country’s total foreign direct investment last year, much higher than the 19 percent in 2008.
“Foreign direct investment in mining will continue. The potential is huge,” Giaimo said, noting that Canadian companies are especially interested in exploring precious metals in Colombia.
Canadian Greystar Resources (GSL.TO) plans to invest about $39.3 million this year in its Angostura gold and silver project, more than double the $19.6 million invested last year, Geoff Chater, vice president of corporate development told Reuters.
Of the total, Greystar has allocated approximately $24.5 million for infrastructure related to the Angostura project. The remaining $14.7 million will be used to complete the feasibility study and exploration drilling, Chater added.
Greystar plans to begin the construction of the mine in 2011, Chater noted.
The company plans to invest $600 million at its Angostura gold and silver mine with output beginning in the second half of 2012, Frederick Felder, Greystar’s executive vice president had said.
Angostura is expected to produce an average of 2.3 million ounces of silver per year over the expected 15-year life of the mine.
Canadian Medoro Resources (MRS.V) plans to invest about $100 million in exploration, production and related activities this year at its recently acquired gold companies Frontino, Mineros Nacionales, Colombia Gold PLC and Colombia Gold.
AngloGold Ashanti’s (ANGJ.J) is also expected to invest $100 million in exploration at its La Colosa mine in Tolima province, where the company announced it had found unproven reserves of 12.3 million ounces. (Reporting by Diana Delgado; Editing by Marguerita Choy)

Mineweb – Colombia to attract $4.5 billion for gold mining over 10 years – POLITICAL ECONOMY


Hallucinogens Have Doctors Tuning In Again

April 11, 2010
NYTIMESBy JOHN TIERNEY

As a retired clinical psychologist, Clark Martin was well acquainted with traditional treatments for depression, but his own case seemed untreatable as he struggled through chemotherapy and other grueling regimens for kidney cancer. Counseling seemed futile to him. So did the antidepressant pills he tried.
Nothing had any lasting effect until, at the age of 65, he had his first psychedelic experience. He left his home in Vancouver, Wash., to take part in an experiment at Johns Hopkins medical school involving psilocybin, the psychoactive ingredient found in certain mushrooms.
Scientists are taking a new look at hallucinogens, which became taboo among regulators after enthusiasts like Timothy Leary promoted them in the 1960s with the slogan “Turn on, tune in, drop out.” Now, using rigorous protocols and safeguards, scientists have won permission to study once again the drugs’ potential for treating mental problems and illuminating the nature of consciousness.
After taking the hallucinogen, Dr. Martin put on an eye mask and headphones, and lay on a couch listening to classical music as he contemplated the universe.
“All of a sudden, everything familiar started evaporating,” he recalled. “Imagine you fall off a boat out in the open ocean, and you turn around, and the boat is gone. And then the water’s gone. And then you’re gone.”
Today, more than a year later, Dr. Martin credits that six-hour experience with helping him overcome his depression and profoundly transforming his relationships with his daughter and friends. He ranks it among the most meaningful events of his life, which makes him a fairly typical member of a growing club of experimental subjects.
Researchers from around the world are gathering this week in San Jose, Calif., for the largest conference on psychedelic science held in the United States in four decades. They plan to discuss studies of psilocybin and other psychedelics for treating depression incancer patients, obsessive-compulsive disorder, end-of-life anxiety, post-traumatic stress disorder and addiction to drugs or alcohol.
The results so far are encouraging but also preliminary, and researchers caution against reading too much into these small-scale studies. They do not want to repeat the mistakes of the 1960s, when some scientists-turned-evangelists exaggerated their understanding of the drugs’ risks and benefits.
Because reactions to hallucinogens can vary so much depending on the setting, experimenters and review boards have developed guidelines to set up a comfortable environment with expert monitors in the room to deal with adverse reactions. They have established standard protocols so that the drugs’ effects can be gauged more accurately, and they have also directly observed the drugs’ effects by scanning the brains of people under the influence of hallucinogens.
Scientists are especially intrigued by the similarities between hallucinogenic experiences and the life-changing revelations reported throughout history by religious mystics and those who meditate. These similarities have been identified in neural imaging studies conducted by Swiss researchers and in experiments led by Roland Griffiths, a professor of behavioral biology at Johns Hopkins.
In one of Dr. Griffiths’s first studies, involving 36 people with no serious physical or emotional problems, he and colleagues found that psilocybin could induce what the experimental subjects described as a profound spiritual experience with lasting positive effects for most of them. None had had any previous experience with hallucinogens, and none were even sure what drug was being administered.
To make the experiment double-blind, neither the subjects nor the two experts monitoring them knew whether the subjects were receiving a placebo, psilocybin or another drug like Ritalin, nicotine, caffeine or an amphetamine. Although veterans of the ’60s psychedelic culture may have a hard time believing it, Dr. Griffiths said that even the monitors sometimes could not tell from the reactions whether the person had taken psilocybin or Ritalin.
The monitors sometimes had to console people through periods of anxiety, Dr. Griffiths said, but these were generally short-lived, and none of the people reported any serious negative effects. In a survey conducted two months later, the people who received psilocybin reported significantly more improvements in their general feelings and behavior than did the members of the control group.
The findings were repeated in another follow-up survey, taken 14 months after the experiment. At that point most of the psilocybin subjects once again expressed more satisfaction with their lives and rated the experience as one of the five most meaningful events of their lives.
Since that study, which was published in 2008, Dr. Griffiths and his colleagues have gone on to give psilocybin to people dealing with cancer and depression, like Dr. Martin, the retired psychologist from Vancouver. Dr. Martin’s experience is fairly typical, Dr. Griffiths said: an improved outlook on life after an experience in which the boundaries between the self and others disappear.
In interviews, Dr. Martin and other subjects described their egos and bodies vanishing as they felt part of some larger state of consciousness in which their personal worries and insecurities vanished. They found themselves reviewing past relationships with lovers and relatives with a new sense of empathy.
“It was a whole personality shift for me,” Dr. Martin said. “I wasn’t any longer attached to my performance and trying to control things. I could see that the really good things in life will happen if you just show up and share your natural enthusiasms with people. You have a feeling of attunement with other people.”
The subjects’ reports mirrored so closely the accounts of religious mystical experiences, Dr. Griffiths said, that it seems likely the human brain is wired to undergo these “unitive” experiences, perhaps because of some evolutionary advantage.
“This feeling that we’re all in it together may have benefited communities by encouraging reciprocal generosity,” Dr. Griffiths said. “On the other hand, universal love isn’t always adaptive, either.”
Although federal regulators have resumed granting approval for controlled experiments with psychedelics, there has been little public money granted for the research, which is being conducted at Hopkins, the University of Arizona; Harvard; New York University; the University of California, Los Angeles; and other places.
The work has been supported by nonprofit groups like the Heffter Research Institute and MAPS, the Multidisciplinary Association for Psychedelic Studies.
“There’s this coming together of science and spirituality,” said Rick Doblin, the executive director of MAPS. “We’re hoping that the mainstream and the psychedelic community can meet in the middle and avoid another culture war. Thanks to changes over the last 40 years in the social acceptance of the hospice movement and yoga and meditation, our culture is much more receptive now, and we’re showing that these drugs can provide benefits that current treatments can’t.”
Researchers are reporting preliminary success in using psilocybin to ease the anxiety of patients with terminal illnesses. Dr. Charles S. Grob, a psychiatrist who is involved in an experiment at U.C.L.A., describes it as “existential medicine” that helps dying people overcome fear, panic and depression.
“Under the influences of hallucinogens,” Dr. Grob writes, “individuals transcend their primary identification with their bodies and experience ego-free states before the time of their actual physical demise, and return with a new perspective and profound acceptance of the life constant: change.”

Hallucinogens Have Doctors Tuning In Again – NYTimes.com

The MasterBlog


Few hurdles for Canada smugglers to get choppers

His case illustrates the remarkable ease with which smugglers have obtained flight training and helicopters as they grab a share of Canada’s sprawling, multibillion-dollar trade in marijuana, cocaine and MDMA, or Ecstasy.

Of about 10 pilots arrested in roundups of British Columbia-based helicopter smuggling operations this decade, at least half had recently trained at flight schools, sometimes dropping out once they knew just enough to handle the machine, an Associated Press review found.

Flight school operators say they don’t check a student’s background or monitor what students do on their own time, though they generally do ask why a student wants to become a pilot. Several said they don’t want to train smugglers, but they also don’t want to turn away business simply because a prospective student might be heavily tattooed or pay in cash.

“I don’t think there’s anything we can do,” said Chinook Helicopters owner Cathy Press, who has seen several former students arrested for smuggling. “If you went and thought everyone was drug-running, you could tell the police, but maybe you’re wrong — and that’s not great for business.”

Even if her suspicions were correct, she added, “They might put someone in jail, but someone else will step forward, so why get in the middle of it?”

A clean criminal record is not a prerequisite for a pilot’s license, said Rod Nelson, a spokesman for Transport Canada, the government agency that oversees the aviation industry. Nor do Canadian officials ask students to disclose previous convictions. They do ask about any substance abuse in an applicant’s past.

The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration takes a similar approach, asking flight students to disclose previous convictions and requiring background checks only of foreign students, spokesman Paul Turk said.

Sam Lindsay-Brown was a clean-cut, friendly 23-year-old when he showed up at Chinook Helicopters in Abbotsford to begin flight training in December 2007. He was also a drug smuggler. And for almost a year after Canadian police began investigating him, he remained enrolled, essentially working his way through flight school as a co-pilot on cross-border drug flights.

U.S. agents arrested Lindsay-Brown in February as he put his training to use by making a 426-pound marijuana drop in northeastern Washington state with one of Martin’s leased helicopters. He committed suicide in jail four days later.

The Royal Canadian Mounted Police and Transport Canada note that they can’t bar people from studying as a pilot or obtaining a license without proof of criminal activity.

“The guy’s 20-some-odd years of age, and he’s gaining qualifications that can be used for a lawful purpose,” said RCMP Cpl. Dan Moskaluk. “It’s a tragedy that he chose to get involved in this line of business, instead of pursuing the lawful side of the skills he was acquiring.”

The RCMP declined to say whether agents were aware he had been enrolled at flight school. They had been investigating him since spring 2008, after a woman he hired to transport 200,000 tabs of Ecstasy was arrested in California and gave his name to police.

RCMP spokesman Norm Massie said the agency had no record of Lindsay-Brown making prior smuggling flights, but two coconspirators confirmed to the AP that Lindsay-Brown had made several as a co-pilot, meaning he would be paid at least $5,000 to help load and unload contraband and keep an eye out for trouble.

The coconspirators spoke on the condition of anonymity because of their own involvement in criminal activity and fear that they could face repercussions from otherdrug traffickers for speaking with a reporter.

Massie declined to discuss what steps the RCMP takes to monitor flight schools, but said the agency knows that some traffickers get training there.

“We would be remiss not to include that in our investigative techniques,” Massie said.

Martin, 37, was sentenced in 2007 in Canada to 2 1/2 years in prison for leading a major drug-smuggling operation in the 1990s, one that started using an airplane after ground couriers were caught.

He said he became involved in drug trafficking about 16 years ago and remains well connected in the smuggling world, though he declined to discuss specifics; he was arrested but has not been charged in Lindsay-Brown’s case. In interviews with the AP, he estimated that as many as 30 pilots across Canada make drug-smuggling flights at least occasionally.

Someone looking to hire a pilot can put the word out via Blackberry and hear from pilots as far away as Quebec or Australia by the end of the day, Martin said.

In dozens of interviews with smugglers, pilots, lawyers, Canadian and U.S. authorities, and operators of flight schools and helicopter companies, a snapshot of the highly specialized profession emerged.

Some drug-running pilots are highly experienced. Some do it full-time, and some do it on the side when legitimate business gets slow or unexpected expenses such as helicopter damage leave them struggling to pay the bills. Some enjoy the rush. Some have a thing for getting America high. They all like the money.

One, Shane Menzel, told a federal judge in Seattle that he turned to smuggling because it was so hard to find work as an inexperienced pilot. Many “low-time” pilots must work for years washing helicopters and cleaning out hangars before they get a real flying job.

People familiar with British Columbia’s marijuana trade have estimated that anywhere from 30,000 to more than 80,000 pounds of pot per month is smuggled into the United States.

It’s a huge business, infusing billions of dollars a year into the province’s economy. The province’s most prominent gangs — the Hells Angels, the United Nations, the Independent Soldiers — are believed to own most of the drugs moved across the border, but to avoid heat they leave the shipping to others.

Air transport is generally considered the best way to exploit the vast, unpopulated terrain along the border.

Planes can fly faster and farther than helicopters, but need airstrips. Helicopters can skim treetops — flying as close as three feet — to avoid radar detection. They can dart through low mountain passes or river valleys and land at a remote clearing or even a wide spot in a logging road, where they’re met by GPS-equipped drivers. They’re back across the Canadian border in minutes.

Often, no cash crosses the border, because it might be seized or difficult to exchange, Martin said.

Instead, whoever moves the marijuana or Ecstasy south gives the profit to a U.S.-based cocaine trafficker. That trafficker instructs a contact north of the border to pay the Canada-based owner of the marijuana or Ecstasy.

The cocaine trafficker then takes the proceeds from the marijuana to buy cocaine to be shipped north into Canada, where the transaction happens again in reverse.

A helicopter smuggling operation charges about $350-$550 per pound to fly marijuana south of the border, and $1,500-$1,800 per kilogram to bring cocaine back.

Such an operation, of course, needs helicopters. In Canada, it is difficult to lease a helicopter without an operating certificate, a Transport Canada document that allows someone to use a helicopter for commercial purposes. Such a document is a sign of legitimacy to leasing companies, who typically want to know what their machines are being used for.

But there are ways around that hurdle.

Many smugglers instead simply buy helicopters, registering them to “numbered” companies — 123456789 Ltd., for example. There are 90 helicopters registered for private use to such companies across Canada, Transport Canada records show.

In other cases, smugglers have paid third parties to register the machines for them, or they’re not registered at all. One unregistered helicopter with the tail mark C-FTCH has been used in smuggling runs and recently was parked deep in the woods near Cranbrook, in the mountains of southeastern British Columbia, three people with knowledge of the machine told the AP.

Martin bought the first helicopter he acquired in 2007, sight-unseen, for $925,000 from an owner in Texas. No conditions of his bail prohibited him from possessing aircraft. Massie declined to discuss Martin’s case, but said generally: “Should those conditions be in place? Absolutely.”

The helicopter was eventually repossessed when he couldn’t afford more than $1 million in repairs. Meanwhile, Martin tried to lease another helicopter through Gorge Timber, a company registered in his wife’s name. The helicopter was a Eurocopter EC-120 put up for lease by a British Columbia company called Vertical Solutions, run by Kevin McCart. Martin said he didn’t think he’d be able to get the lease without an operating certificate, but a Calgary city police aircraft engineer, Greg Solar, who had helped him repair his first chopper, had a connection.

“I thought, ‘We’re a little company, we don’t have the best books,'” Martin said. “And all of a sudden Greg’s saying, ‘I know Kevin McCart. I’ll put in a good word for you guys.'”

Solar and McCart declined to speak with the AP, but Martin said he leased the EC-120 for $30,000 U.S. a month, including insurance and maintenance. He had it for about nine months, until last fall, when the owner took it back because uninsured pilots had been flying it. The helicopter was used in cross-border drug flights, Lindsay-Brown’s coconspirators told the AP.

Early this year, Martin used Gorge to lease another machine — the Bell 206 Jet Ranger that Lindsay-Brown was arrested in — from Eagle Copters of Calgary, one ofCanada‘s most prominent helicopter companies.

Mike O’Reilly, Eagle’s president, did not return repeated calls from the AP.

“Sure, I have a past, but those charges were a decade ago,” Martin said. “If you have the money and you want to get into a helicopter business, you can — doesn’t matter who that individual is.”

On Feb. 23, the day of his arrest, Lindsay-Brown climbed into the Jet Ranger at Martin’s shop and flew it to a snowy clearing outside Ione, Wash. He was to drop off 426 pounds of marijuana and pick up 83 kilos of cocaine, authorities said.

But the driver he was meeting, Len Ferris, had been arrested in Utah with the cocaine. For more than a day, Ferris did not return Blackberry messages from Sean Doak, a recently paroled drug trafficker who was his contact on the Canadian side of the border, Martin said he later learned from Adam Serrano, another man arrested in the case.

That was a clear sign of trouble, but Doak never told Lindsay-Brown about it, and Lindsay-Brown had no clue he was flying into a setup, Martin said.

U.S. agents greeted him with guns drawn.

Martin reported the helicopter stolen. The DEA said it didn’t believe him and returned the machine to Eagle Copters.

The following week, another pilot flew down to meet Ferris — with predictable results. This time, it was Jeremy Snow, who recently had done flight training at Okanagan Mountain Helicopters in Kelowna. He was arrested as he landed in Idaho, pleaded guilty in U.S. District Court in Seattle and is expected to face four years in prison.

Copyright © 2009 Yahoo! Inc. All rights reserved.


The Bolivarian Brain Drain
Newsweek
Hugo Chavez and his allies are tightening their grips, forcing the intelligentsia to leave in droves.
Mac Margolis

Newsweek Web Exclusive

For just a moment, in the early days of his presidency, Venezuela’s Hugo Chávez looked almost like a healer. “Let’s ask for God’s help to accept our differences and come together in dialogue,” he famously implored his conflicted compatriots in 2002. Instead what Venezuelans got was an avenger. The government is seizing privately owned companies and farms. Labor unions have been crushed. Political opponents are routinely harassed or else prosecuted by chavista controlled courts. And now after a decade of the so-called Bolivarian revolution, tens of thousands of disillusioned Venezuelan professionals have had enough. Artists, lawyers, physicians, managers and engineers are leaving the country by droves, while those already abroad are scrapping plans to return. The wealthiest among them are buying condos in Miami and Panama City. Cashiered oil engineers are working rigs in the North Sea and sifting the tar sands of western Canada. Those of European descent have applied for passports from their native lands. Academic scholarships are lifeboats. An estimated million Venezuelans have moved abroad in the decade since Chávez took power.

This exodus is splitting families and interrupting careers, but also sabotaging the country’s future. Just as nations across the developing world are managing to lure their scattered expatriates back home to fuel recovering economies and join vibrant democracies, the outrush of Venezuelan brainpower is gutting universities and thinktanks, crippling industries and hastening the economic disarray that threatens to destroy one of the richest countries in the hemisphere. Forget minerals, oil and natural gas; the biggest export of the Bolivarian revolution is talent.

The Bolivarian diaspora is a reversal of fortune on a massive scale. Through most of the last century, Venezuela was a haven for immigrants fleeing Old World repression and intolerance. Refugees from totalitarianism and religious intolerance in Spain, Italy and Germany and Eastern Europe flocked to this country nestled between the Caribbean and the Andean cordillera and helped forge one of the most vibrant societies in the New World. Like most developing nations, the country was split between the burgeoning poor and an encastled elite. But in the 1970s and 1980s, Venezuelans were the envy of Latin America. Oil rich, educated, with a solid democratic tradition, they lived a tier above the chronically unstable societies in the region. “We had a relatively rich country that offered opportunities, with no insecurity. No one thought about leaving,” says Diego Arria, a former Venezuelan ambassador to the United Nations, who lives in New York. “Now we have rampant crime, a repressive political system that borders on apartheid, and reverse migration. Venezuela is now a country of emigrants.”

It’s much the same all over the axis of Hugo, the constellation of 10 states in the Andes, Central America and the Caribbean that have followed Chávez in lockstep in the march towards so called 21st century socialism. In the name of power, justice and plenty for the downtrodden the leaders of the “Bolivarian alternative” in Bolivia, Ecuador, Nicaragua are rewriting their constitutions, intimidating the media and stoking class and ethnic conflicts that occasionally explode in hate and violence. (The military coup on June 28 that ousted Honduran president Manuela Zelaya, a key Chávez ally, is the latest example of the blowback from the Bolivarian revolution.) The middle classes and the young are taking the brunt. A study just released by the Latin America Economic System, an intergovernmental economic research institute, reports that the outflow of highly skilled labor, aged 25 or older, from Venezeula to OECD countries rose 216 percent between 1990 and 2007. A recent study by Vanderbilt University in Nashville showed more than one in three Bolivians under 30 had plans to emigrate, up from 12 percent a decade ago, while 47 percent of 18-year-olds said they planned to leave. Many established professionals have already made up their minds. “I ask myself if I’m not patriotic enough,” says Giovanna Rivero, an acclaimed Bolivian novelist who is leaving for a teaching job at the University of Florida and has no plans to come back. “But Bolivia is coming apart. There are people who´ve known each other all their lives who don’t talk to one another anymore.”

In Venezuela, Chavez has pushed hard against anyone who refuses to accept his party line. Daniel Benaim was one of Venezuela’s top independent television producers, turning out prime time entertainment and game shows for national channels with Canal Uno, a leading production house. “We had 160 employees and a 24/7 operation,” he says. But after the failed coup against Chávez in 2002, the government cracked down on independent media and programming budgets dried up. In a month, Canal Uno was down to four employees and heading for bankruptcy. Benaim redirected his business to serve the international advertising market and raked in prestigious international awards, including multiple Latin Emmys. But opportunities for non-chavistas in Venezuela had dried up. One by one, he watched the people he trained over the years leave the country. “I used to give angry speeches about the brain drain. Now I have to bite my tongue,” says Benaim, who is also moving to the U.S. “We had the best minds in the business, and now there’s nothing for them here.”

One of Benaim´s associates was Gonzalo Bernal Ibarra. He, too, had soared up the career ladder in broadcast television and until recently ran a campus network that reached 100,000 students. Everything changed in late 2007 when Chávez lost a refrendum to rewrite the constitution and began to crack down on his media critics, including Bernal. Strangers in jackets with weighted pockets–dress code for Chávez´s military intelligence police–began to follow him day and night. Then congress was set to pass a bill obliging schools to teach 21st century socialism. “I didn’t want my kid learning that crap,” he says. Even shopping became a trial as spiking inflation and government price controls emptied the supermarkets of basic goods like milk, eggs and meat. One day in late 2008, he opened a bottle of whiskey and held a yard sale. “I got drunk and watched my life get carted away,” he says. He now lives in the Washington, D.C. area, with his wife and six year old daughter, and is trying to adapt. “I was living in the most beautiful, wonderful, funny country in the world. Now a third of my friends are gone. In another ten years, Venezuela is going to be a crippled country.”

No industry has been harder hit by the flight of talent than Venezuela’s oil sector. A decade ago, Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) ranked as one of the top five energy companies in the world. Everything changed under Chávez, who named a Marxist university professor with no experience in the industry to head the company. PDVSA’s top staff immediately went on strike and paralyzed the country. Chávez responded by firing 22,000 people practically overnight, including the country’s leading oil experts. As many as 4,000 of PDVSA’s elite staff are now working overseas. “The company is a shambles,” says Gustavo Coronel, a former member of the PDVSA board, who now works in the Washington D.C. as an oil consultant. Up until 2003, researchers at the company’s Center for Technological research and Development generated 20 to 30 patents a year. Last year it produced none, even though its staff has doubled. PDVSA produced 3.2 million barrels of crude oil a day when Chávez took control. Now it pumps 2.4 milion, according to independent estimates.

The decline has spread across Venezuelan society, heightened by cronyism, corruption and censorship. In May, on the pretext that scientists were pursuing “obscure” research projects such as “whether there is life on Venus,” Chávez began to slash budgets at the university science centers, where the country’s cutting edge public health research was carried out. Instead he poured petrodollars into official “misiones cientificas” (scientific missions), where the purse strings are controlled by Chávez allies. Now the country’s most respected research institutes are falling behind. Earlier this year, Jaime Requena. a Cambridge University trained biologist at the Institute of Advanced Studies, was forced into retirement and stripped of his pension after publishing a paper charging that scientific research in Venezuela was “at a 30-year low.” The number of papers published by Venezuelans in international scientific journals fell from 958 to 831, a 15 percent drop in just the last three years. At aged 62, with an aging mother, Requena has few options. “It’s not easy to get another job at my age. I would leave Venezuela if I could. My friends and colleagues all have.”

An estimated 9,000 Venezuelan scientists are currently living in the U.S. – compared to 6,000 employed in Venezuela. One of the victims is an internationally acclaimed life sciences expert, who quit his job as chief of a major research laboratory in Caracas to try his luck in the U.S. in 2002, but always nursed hopes of returning. “I sent the government a number of proposals and they never got back to me,” he says asking not to be named for fear of reprisals against his relatives in Venezuela. “Now it’s all about politics. If you are not with Chávez you will never get grants. You will be persecuted. This is a war on merit.” Venezuelan medical science, he said, is groping in the dark. “The last epidemiological report Venezuela published was in 2005,” he says. “We don’t even know what diseases we have and whether they are increasing or decreasing. This is the Cuban model, of keeping people in the dark.”

The Bolivarian diaspora seems to be getting worse. Though census data is patchy, Latin American analysts say that outmigration from Venezuela, Bolivia and Ecuador has created sizeable enclaves in the U.S., Spain, Colombia and Central America. Panama City glistens with new buildings built by moneyed Venezuelan expatriates, who number some 15,000, up from a few thousand at the beginning of the decade. So many Venezuelans have flocked to Weston, a suburb of Fort Lauderdale, locals call it Westonzuela. There is hardly a middle class family in Venezuela without a son or daughter abroad,” says Fernando Rodríguez, a columnist for the anti Chávez newspaper Tal Cual. In fact, far more people from the Bolivarian countries might be emigrating if it weren’t for the global recession and rising hostility to outsiders, Venezuelan emigrants do not qualify as political refugees and enjoy no special advantage in the fierce competition for the 400,000 H1B work visas issued yearly by the U.S. for highly skilled migrants, three quarters of which go to Indians, who have an edge because they can speak English. “One reason we are not seeing more dislocation from these countries is that many people have no place to go,” says Alejandro Portes, a sociologist who studies global migration at Princeton University.

Latin America has seen this before. Virtually the entire Cuban middle class fled to the U.S. after Fidel Castro’s revolution, turning Miami into a business hub for Latin America while Havana moldered. The Cold War, stagflation, serial debt crises and massive unemployment drove the brain drain through the 1980s, Latin America’s lost decade, especially in Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Peru and throughout Central America. By the early 2000s, some of the countries convulsed by dictatorship or guerrilla insurgency, such as Chile and Peru, had managed to reverse course, making their societies prosperous and safe. But other countries have struggled to bring their expatriates home. In the 1980s and 1990s, Colombia had become synonymous with cocaine, violent crime and guerrilla warfare, all of which drove some four million Colombians from their homes. Targeted by kidnappers and political thugs, tens of thousands of middle class professionals left the country. In 2002 Pres. Álvaro Uribe declared war on drugs and crime, and now onetime bandit cities like Cali, Medellin and Bogota are safer than ever and have even become models for the rest of crime-ridden Latin America. Yet the brain drain has not reversed. “Either the [emigrants] have found the American dream or they are not yet convinced that it’s safe to return,” says Jorge Rojas, of Codhes, a Colombian thinktank that tracks refugees. “It shows how difficult it can be to recover lost talent.”

For the nations of the Bolivarian Revolution, this means some dark days are likely to be ahead. Even the wealthiest nations could ill afford to lose their best and brightest, and Venezuela, Bolivia, Ecuador and Nicaragua have all fallen in the World Economic Forum’s competitiveness index. Fitch ratings recently demoted all three countries’ debt to junk status, while the World Bank placed the Bolivarian trio of Bolivia, Ecuador and Venezuela in the bottom quarter of its ease of doing business, along with most of the African continent.

Though much has been made of how developing world migrants can mitigate underdevelopment by sending precious savings back home, remittances will not close the widening talent gap that is sapping societies of their ablest hands. “If a 20-something engineer or computer specialist leaves the country, who cares? But in ten years we’ll be feeling the loss,” says Rául Maestres, a human resources expert in Caracas, whose son and daughter recently left Venezuela -he to work at U.S. architecture firm, she to study advertising in Buenos Aires. “When you think about the opportunities we have lost, you could sit down and cry.”

Still there may be a glimmer of revival. Ostracized at home and unwelcome abroad, expatriate communities are trying to turn distance into strength. Using the web, universities and the expatriate grapevine, foreign nationals from the populist countries are talking to each other and building ties with dissidents around the world. Back home opposition movements are making a stand, launching protest marches and candidates in a major city in each country–Guayaquil in Ecuador, Santa Cruz de la Sierra in Bolivia, Maracaibo in Venezuela. “We are putting together a web of exiles as a counterbalance to authoritarianism,” says Coronel, who is tapping the diaspora for a gathering in Ecuador or Argentina in the next few months. “You could call it a kind of axis of freedom.” That may sound optimistic given the stranglehold Chávez and his followers have on their countries. But given the growing numbers and brain power of Latin America’s new dissidents, uniting their voices might just make a difference.


© 2009

Xstrata Seeks Merger with Anglo American

LONDON — Anglo-Swiss miner Xstrata PLC has made a bold merger approach to rival Anglo American PLC, an effort that underscores the competitive pressure facing miners but also faces steep odds of success.


Xstrata said in a statement Sunday that it had sent a proposal to Anglo’s board seeking consideration of a merger of equals – a combination that would have a market value of more than $68 billion, displacing Rio Tinto as the world’s third-largest miner after BHP Billiton and Brazil’s Companhia Vale do Rio Doce.

U.K.-based Anglo, in a separate statement, said “this situation is at a very preliminary stage” and didn’t provide other details.

Xstrata is expected to propose a deal that would put its management, led by Chief Executive Mick Davis, more in control of the combined company, which would be equally owned by both companies’ shareholders, people familiar with the matter said.

Any deal, though, faces high hurdles. For one, Xstrata is not offering a premium for Anglo shares, and would be hard pressed to raise the money to do so. Also, any desire on Xstrata’s part to take the lead in managing the new company will likely reduce Anglo’s enthusiasm. Beyond that, a deal could face political headwinds in South Africa, where Anglo has significant operations.

Regardless of the outcome, Xstrata’s move highlights the pressures facing miners, which are seeking to cut costs to keep pace with the dramatic downdraft in prices as a result of the economic downturn. Prices for many metals and minerals are 30% to 50% lower now than they were 12-18 months ago.

The merger approach also shows how smaller operators such as Xstrata are scrambling to get bigger to keep pace with larger rivals including Vale, BHP and Rio. Rio and BHP are seeking to merge their vast iron ore operations in Australia.

A merged Xstrata-Anglo would be the world’s largest provider of diamonds, platinum, chrome and zinc, and the second largest copper producer, just behind Chile’s Codelco. The two companies already have some joint operations in Latin America as well as platinum and palladium assets that are near one another in southern Africa.

Estimates of the cost-saving opportunities from putting the companies together vary, with some in the Xstrata camp putting them at more than $1 billion per year. “The combination would create a premier portfolio of operations diversified across multiple commodities and geographies, with enhanced scale and financial flexibility to fund future growth,” Xstrata said in its statement.

From Anglo’s perspective, the benefits are less clear. People close to Anglo say the cost savings would be smaller, particularly in the companies’ coal and copper operations. A merger would be more beneficial for Xstrata than for Anglo, one of the people said.

The strong performance of Xstrata shares in recent months has brought the companies’ market values in line with each other, at about £20 billion ($33 billion) each – a fact that will likely lead Anglo’s board to question whether this is an opportunistic approach from Xstrata’s Mr. Davis. In late 2007, Anglo considered buying Xstrata, but decided against it.

Though Anglo’s lagging share price has led to grumbling by some of its shareholders over the company’s management, led by CEO Cynthia Carroll, its board may decide that the company’s prospects as a standalone company are better, one of the people said.

Many of Anglo’s shareholders and operations are also in South Africa, which would likely need to approve of any deal for it to succeed. A further complicating factor is Glencore International AG, the trading company that owns a big stake in Xstrata. Glencore would likely want the right to market key commodities from a combined Xstrata-Anglo, a demand that helped derail a recent takeover bid for Xstrata from Vale.

—Robert Guy Matthews contributed to this article.

Write to Dana Cimilluca at dana.cimilluca@wsj.com and Jeffrey Sparshott atjeffrey.sparshott@dowjones.com


Citigroup says gold could rise above $2,000 next year as world unravels

Gold is poised for a dramatic surge and could blast through $2,000 an ounce by the end of next year as central banks flood the world’s monetary system with liquidity, according to an internal client note from the US bank Citigroup.

woman with gold bar - Citigroup says gold could rise above $2,000 next year as world unravels

An employee of Tanaka Kikinzoku Jewelry K.K. displays a gold bar at the company’s store in Tokyo Photo: Reuters

The bank said the damage caused by the financial excesses of the last quarter century was forcing the world’s authorities to take steps that had never been tried before.

This gamble was likely to end in one of two extreme ways: with either a resurgence of inflation; or a downward spiral into depression, civil disorder, and possibly wars. Both outcomes will cause a rush for gold.

“They are throwing the kitchen sink at this,” said Tom Fitzpatrick, the bank’s chief technical strategist.

“The world is not going back to normal after the magnitude of what they have done. When the dust settles this will either work, and the money they have pushed into the system will feed though into an inflation shock.

“Or it will not work because too much damage has already been done, and we will see continued financial deterioration, causing further economic deterioration, with the risk of a feedback loop. We don’t think this is the more likely outcome, but as each week and month passes, there is a growing danger of vicious circle as confidence erodes,” he said.

“This will lead to political instability. We are already seeing countries on the periphery of Europe under severe stress. Some leaders are now at record levels of unpopularity. There is a risk of domestic unrest, starting with strikes because people are feeling disenfranchised.”

“What happens if there is a meltdown in a country like Pakistan, which is a nuclear power. People react when they have their backs to the wall. We’re already seeing doubts emerge about the sovereign debts of developed AAA-rated countries, which is not something you can ignore,” he said.

Gold traders are playing close attention to reports from Beijing that the China is thinking of boosting its gold reserves from 600 tonnes to nearer 4,000 tonnes to diversify away from paper currencies. “If true, this is a very material change,” he said.

Mr Fitzpatrick said Britain had made a mistake selling off half its gold at the bottom of the market between 1999 to 2002. “People have started to question the value of government debt,” he said.

Citigroup said the blast-off was likely to occur within two years, and possibly as soon as 2009. Gold was trading yesterday at $812 an ounce. It is well off its all-time peak of $1,030 in February but has held up much better than other commodities over the last few months – reverting to is historical role as a safe-haven store of value and a de facto currency.

Gold has tripled in value over the last seven years, vastly outperforming Wall Street and European bourses.

© Copyright of Telegraph Media Group Limited 2008

Citigroup says gold could rise above $2,000 next year as world unravels – Telegraph


Citigroup says gold could rise above $2,000 next year as world unravels

Gold is poised for a dramatic surge and could blast through $2,000 an ounce by the end of next year as central banks flood the world’s monetary system with liquidity, according to an internal client note from the US bank Citigroup.

woman with gold bar - Citigroup says gold could rise above $2,000 next year as world unravels

An employee of Tanaka Kikinzoku Jewelry K.K. displays a gold bar at the company’s store in Tokyo Photo: Reuters

The bank said the damage caused by the financial excesses of the last quarter century was forcing the world’s authorities to take steps that had never been tried before.

This gamble was likely to end in one of two extreme ways: with either a resurgence of inflation; or a downward spiral into depression, civil disorder, and possibly wars. Both outcomes will cause a rush for gold.

“They are throwing the kitchen sink at this,” said Tom Fitzpatrick, the bank’s chief technical strategist.

“The world is not going back to normal after the magnitude of what they have done. When the dust settles this will either work, and the money they have pushed into the system will feed though into an inflation shock.

“Or it will not work because too much damage has already been done, and we will see continued financial deterioration, causing further economic deterioration, with the risk of a feedback loop. We don’t think this is the more likely outcome, but as each week and month passes, there is a growing danger of vicious circle as confidence erodes,” he said.

“This will lead to political instability. We are already seeing countries on the periphery of Europe under severe stress. Some leaders are now at record levels of unpopularity. There is a risk of domestic unrest, starting with strikes because people are feeling disenfranchised.”

“What happens if there is a meltdown in a country like Pakistan, which is a nuclear power. People react when they have their backs to the wall. We’re already seeing doubts emerge about the sovereign debts of developed AAA-rated countries, which is not something you can ignore,” he said.

Gold traders are playing close attention to reports from Beijing that the China is thinking of boosting its gold reserves from 600 tonnes to nearer 4,000 tonnes to diversify away from paper currencies. “If true, this is a very material change,” he said.

Mr Fitzpatrick said Britain had made a mistake selling off half its gold at the bottom of the market between 1999 to 2002. “People have started to question the value of government debt,” he said.

Citigroup said the blast-off was likely to occur within two years, and possibly as soon as 2009. Gold was trading yesterday at $812 an ounce. It is well off its all-time peak of $1,030 in February but has held up much better than other commodities over the last few months – reverting to is historical role as a safe-haven store of value and a de facto currency.

Gold has tripled in value over the last seven years, vastly outperforming Wall Street and European bourses.

© Copyright of Telegraph Media Group Limited 2008

Citigroup says gold could rise above $2,000 next year as world unravels – Telegraph